← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sat, Jan 31, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 48% | 31% | 2.04 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 23% | 3.57 | fair |
| Club Brugge win | 25% | 46% | 3.94 | value: +81% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 670.00 | 2862.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1483.15 | 1668.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.43 | 35.48 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 27.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.60 |
| state index | -0.11 | 1.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |