← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sun, Jan 25, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 36% | 40% | 2.69 | value: +7% |
| Anderlecht win | 34% | 33% | 2.85 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | 3.31 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 938.00 | 330.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1690.66 | 1738.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.87 | 1.62 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| league points | 34.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.95 |
| state index | 0.67 | 1.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |