← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sat, Jan 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waregem win | 60% | 65% | 1.61 | value: +4% |
| Draw | 23% | 19% | 4.18 | fair |
| Westerlo win | 16% | 16% | 6.00 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1150.00 | 663.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1618.17 | 1459.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.97 | -9.74 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 28.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.09 |
| state index | 0.55 | -0.96 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |