← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sat, Jan 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 38% | 30% | 2.59 | fair |
| Lokeren win | 32% | 41% | 3.03 | value: +24% |
| Draw | 30% | 29% | 3.25 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Lokeren |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 268.00 | 1729.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1525.85 | 1635.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.45 | -40.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 26.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.36 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.44 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |