← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sun, Jan 18, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 74% | 84% | 1.32 | value: +10% |
| Draw | 16% | 12% | 5.92 | fair |
| Lierse win | 10% | 5% | 10.06 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Lierse |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 323.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| elo | 1735.22 | 1422.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.50 | -27.24 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| league points | 40.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| rest days | 23.00 | 23.00 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 0.67 |
| state index | 1.06 | -1.52 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |