← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sat, Jan 17, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waregem win | 41% | 40% | 2.39 | fair |
| Waasland-Beveren win | 31% | 30% | 3.15 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 30% | 3.47 | value: +5% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waasland-Beveren | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1143.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| elo | 1483.93 | 1605.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.25 | 1.46 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 20.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.19 |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |