← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sat, Jan 17, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 40% | 36% | 2.44 | fair |
| Oostende win | 31% | 36% | 3.15 | value: +14% |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 3.35 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1446.00 | 230.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| elo | 1530.89 | 1611.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.26 | 19.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 28.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 28.00 | 22.00 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.62 |
| state index | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |