← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sat, Jan 17, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 62% | 43% | 1.58 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 26% | 4.29 | value: +12% |
| Club Brugge win | 15% | 31% | 6.31 | value: +95% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 595.00 | 2848.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1611.08 | 1645.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.21 | 10.89 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 1.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| league points | 34.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 22.00 | 1.00 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.54 |
| state index | 1.26 | 0.82 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |