← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Fri, Jan 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 71% | 57% | 1.38 | fair |
| Draw | 18% | 24% | 5.40 | value: +29% |
| Mechelen win | 11% | 19% | 8.64 | value: +67% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2847.00 | 260.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1650.67 | 1520.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.61 | -1.55 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 62.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.19 |
| state index | 1.29 | -0.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |