← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Fri, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 61% | 44% | 1.59 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 27% | 4.49 | value: +21% |
| Lierse win | 17% | 29% | 5.74 | value: +65% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 5 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lierse | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 2826.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| elo | 1435.72 | 1632.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.83 | 33.82 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 14.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 0.70 | 1.47 |
| state index | -1.18 | 0.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |