← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Fri, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 37% | 33% | 2.67 | fair |
| Kortrijk win | 34% | 39% | 2.83 | value: +9% |
| Draw | 29% | 29% | 3.36 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 208.00 | 208.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1622.71 | 1633.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.29 | -11.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 34.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.55 |
| state index | 1.03 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |