← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Fri, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 78% | 79% | 1.25 | fair |
| Draw | 14% | 13% | 6.80 | fair |
| Westerlo win | 7% | 8% | 13.12 | value: +5% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 300.00 | 634.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1730.35 | 1459.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.82 | -12.29 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| league points | 37.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.15 |
| state index | 0.41 | -0.87 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |