← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sun, Dec 14, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 72% | 71% | 1.35 | fair |
| Draw | 18% | 19% | 5.43 | fair |
| Oostende win | 10% | 10% | 10.16 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 288.00 | 1412.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1715.46 | 1519.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.89 | 0.82 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 31.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.39 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |