← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sat, Dec 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 42% | 51% | 2.34 | value: +20% |
| Kortrijk win | 30% | 22% | 3.25 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | 3.45 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 134.00 | 195.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1628.80 | 1623.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.96 | 77.65 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| league points | 29.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.72 |
| state index | 0.39 | 1.44 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |