← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sat, Dec 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mouscron-Peruwelz win | 36% | 23% | 2.71 | fair |
| Club Brugge win | 35% | 54% | 2.79 | value: +51% ⚠ |
| Draw | 29% | 23% | 3.38 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Mouscron-Peruwelz |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2813.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1607.85 | 1529.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.99 | 19.29 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| league points | 47.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| state index | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |