← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Fri, Dec 12, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 41% | 40% | 2.37 | fair |
| Mechelen win | 30% | 31% | 3.20 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | 3.44 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 225.00 | 194.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1510.15 | 1646.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.97 | -5.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 20.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.67 |
| state index | -0.81 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |