← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sun, Dec 7, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 68% | 45% | 1.43 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 26% | 4.94 | value: +27% |
| Waregem win | 12% | 30% | 8.07 | value: +138% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2807.00 | 1102.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1599.14 | 1614.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.05 | 23.61 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 44.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.12 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.65 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |