← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sat, Dec 6, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 50% | 53% | 1.96 | value: +4% |
| Draw | 26% | 24% | 3.72 | fair |
| Mouscron-Peruwelz win | 24% | 23% | 4.05 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mouscron-Peruwelz | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 280.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1507.27 | 1737.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.05 | -10.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.40 |
| league points | 20.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.82 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |