← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sat, Dec 6, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokeren win | 71% | 55% | 1.38 | fair |
| Draw | 19% | 24% | 5.06 | value: +23% |
| Club Brugge win | 10% | 21% | 9.73 | value: +103% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lokeren | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1680.00 | 2806.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1675.25 | 1595.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.73 | -0.76 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 2.01 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 28.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.34 |
| state index | 0.84 | 0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |