← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sun, Nov 30, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 42% | 67% | 2.30 | value: +53% ⚠ |
| Club Brugge win | 30% | 14% | 3.26 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 20% | 3.53 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 274.00 | 2800.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1742.72 | 1589.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.74 | -6.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 2.01 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 30.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.35 |
| state index | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |