← Jupiler Pro League 2014-15 · Sat, Nov 29, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 51% | 47% | 1.93 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 3.64 | fair |
| Oostende win | 23% | 26% | 4.32 | value: +11% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 212.00 | 1397.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1522.42 | 1511.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.48 | -3.74 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.77 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| league points | 19.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| state index | -0.25 | 0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |