← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sun, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 55% | 59% | 1.77 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 3.75 | fair |
| Waasland-Beveren win | 19% | 14% | 5.12 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waasland-Beveren | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 623.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1520.77 | 1771.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.26 | -11.89 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 30.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 2.28 |
| state index | 0.51 | 0.93 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |