← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sun, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 73% | 75% | 1.33 | fair |
| Draw | 17% | 17% | 5.69 | fair |
| Oostende win | 9% | 8% | 10.35 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 15.00 | 1139.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1761.27 | 1484.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.91 | -4.65 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 54.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.17 |
| state index | 0.95 | -0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |