← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sat, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 72% | 73% | 1.35 | fair |
| Draw | 18% | 18% | 5.49 | fair |
| Mechelen win | 10% | 9% | 10.03 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 615.00 | 66.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1766.42 | 1539.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.45 | -10.61 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 63.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 1.11 |
| state index | 0.92 | -0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |