← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sat, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokeren win | 64% | 64% | 1.53 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | 4.41 | fair |
| Waasland-Beveren win | 14% | 13% | 6.81 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lokeren | Waasland-Beveren |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1407.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1681.34 | 1515.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.39 | 39.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.20 |
| league points | 47.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.04 |
| state index | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |