← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sat, Mar 1, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergen win | 43% | 41% | 2.30 | fair |
| Oostende win | 29% | 30% | 3.39 | value: +3% |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 3.42 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bergen | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1124.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1444.92 | 1501.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.14 | 33.99 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 16.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.59 | 1.22 |
| state index | -0.73 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |