← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sun, Feb 23, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 65% | 64% | 1.51 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 4.31 | fair |
| Gent win | 13% | 13% | 7.55 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 602.00 | 418.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1796.26 | 1583.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.27 | 11.24 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| league points | 63.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.42 | 1.35 |
| state index | 1.76 | 0.44 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |