← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sun, Feb 23, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 54% | 39% | 1.81 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 26% | 4.02 | value: +5% |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven win | 22% | 35% | 4.46 | value: +55% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 2520.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| elo | 1482.43 | 1607.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.80 | 26.61 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 23.00 | 83.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| state index | -0.42 | 0.45 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |