← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sun, Feb 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 80% | 80% | 1.22 | fair |
| Draw | 14% | 13% | 7.20 | fair |
| Bergen win | 7% | 7% | 14.98 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Bergen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 625.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1779.62 | 1432.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.02 | -44.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 48.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 0.52 |
| state index | 0.75 | -1.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |