← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sat, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waregem win | 63% | 54% | 1.55 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 24% | 4.40 | value: +7% |
| Club Brugge win | 15% | 21% | 6.57 | value: +41% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 807.00 | 2512.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| elo | 1687.73 | 1607.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.05 | 24.17 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 45.00 | 80.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.63 |
| state index | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |