← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sat, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waasland-Beveren win | 41% | 35% | 2.36 | fair |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven win | 30% | 35% | 3.22 | value: +12% |
| Draw | 28% | 30% | 3.44 | value: +3% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waasland-Beveren | Oud-Heverlee Leuven |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1480.92 | 1491.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.53 | 14.19 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 22.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |