← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sat, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 64% | 56% | 1.52 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 27% | 4.51 | value: +20% |
| Charleroi win | 14% | 17% | 6.96 | value: +22% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 259.00 | 594.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1496.67 | 1792.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.42 | 41.59 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.78 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| league points | 27.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.16 | 1.93 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |