← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sat, Feb 8, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 51% | 54% | 1.90 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | 3.60 | fair |
| Kortrijk win | 22% | 20% | 4.51 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1348.00 | 617.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1553.02 | 1784.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.31 | -30.59 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| league points | 33.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.96 |
| state index | -0.55 | 0.47 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |