← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sat, Feb 1, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 77% | 65% | 1.27 | fair |
| Draw | 15% | 21% | 6.31 | value: +34% |
| Club Brugge win | 8% | 13% | 12.61 | value: +69% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 580.00 | 2498.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| elo | 1775.87 | 1588.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.70 | -27.99 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| league points | 54.00 | 73.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| season ppg | 2.35 | 1.62 |
| state index | 1.61 | -0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |