← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sat, Feb 1, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 38% | 45% | 2.57 | value: +15% |
| Oostende win | 33% | 26% | 2.95 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 3.38 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 245.00 | 1096.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1515.62 | 1475.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.87 | 13.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 27.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.09 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |