← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Fri, Jan 31, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 62% | 73% | 1.56 | value: +13% |
| Draw | 22% | 18% | 4.46 | fair |
| Lierse win | 16% | 9% | 6.18 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lierse | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 609.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1462.00 | 1809.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.32 | 0.72 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| league points | 24.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 2.04 |
| state index | 0.00 | 1.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |