← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sun, Jan 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 51% | 54% | 1.92 | value: +4% |
| Draw | 28% | 24% | 3.54 | fair |
| Gent win | 22% | 22% | 4.50 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 880.00 | 390.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1631.77 | 1559.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -75.48 | -35.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 35.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.23 |
| state index | -0.70 | -0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |