← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sun, Jan 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 59% | 72% | 1.64 | value: +18% |
| Draw | 22% | 17% | 4.34 | fair |
| Club Brugge win | 18% | 11% | 5.37 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 604.00 | 2492.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1804.29 | 1587.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.99 | -44.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| league points | 44.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| state index | 1.27 | -0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |