← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sat, Jan 25, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oostende win | 48% | 44% | 2.02 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 32% | 3.44 | value: +9% |
| Waasland-Beveren win | 23% | 24% | 4.17 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | Waasland-Beveren |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1089.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1467.07 | 1484.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.12 | 45.35 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| league points | 22.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.91 |
| state index | -0.01 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |