← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sat, Jan 25, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 54% | 59% | 1.81 | value: +7% |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | 4.00 | fair |
| Lierse win | 22% | 15% | 4.51 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Lierse |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1334.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1568.31 | 1447.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.33 | -6.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 32.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 0.95 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.49 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |