← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sun, Jan 19, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 58% | 62% | 1.68 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 23% | 21% | 4.15 | fair |
| Mechelen win | 19% | 16% | 5.26 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 18.00 | 597.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| elo | 1519.05 | 1820.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.27 | 17.87 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| league points | 20.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 24.00 | 24.00 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 2.10 |
| state index | -0.21 | 1.53 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |