← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sat, Jan 18, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waasland-Beveren win | 40% | 35% | 2.47 | fair |
| Bergen win | 32% | 34% | 3.10 | value: +7% |
| Draw | 29% | 31% | 3.38 | value: +3% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waasland-Beveren | Bergen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| elo | 1469.35 | 1488.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.00 | 45.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| league points | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 23.00 | 23.00 |
| season ppg | 0.81 | 0.62 |
| state index | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |