← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sat, Jan 18, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 77% | 74% | 1.27 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 18% | 6.18 | value: +13% |
| Oostende win | 7% | 8% | 13.36 | value: +5% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 566.00 | 1082.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| elo | 1762.99 | 1470.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.77 | 20.94 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| league points | 48.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 22.00 | 23.00 |
| season ppg | 2.29 | 1.05 |
| state index | 1.61 | 0.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |