← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Fri, Dec 27, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 56% | 42% | 1.73 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 32% | 3.97 | value: +27% |
| Kortrijk win | 19% | 26% | 5.11 | value: +35% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1305.00 | 544.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1568.58 | 1750.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.67 | 16.72 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| league points | 29.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 2.25 |
| state index | -0.20 | 1.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |