← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Thu, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven win | 41% | 36% | 2.39 | fair |
| Club Brugge win | 31% | 38% | 3.12 | value: +20% |
| Draw | 28% | 25% | 3.49 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 2461.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| elo | 1476.81 | 1616.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.38 | 15.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| league points | 16.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.69 |
| state index | -0.75 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |