← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sun, Dec 22, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 36% | 48% | 2.69 | value: +30% |
| Club Brugge win | 34% | 26% | 2.84 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 26% | 3.32 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 355.00 | 2457.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| elo | 1600.32 | 1615.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.30 | 5.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| league points | 27.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.70 |
| state index | 0.61 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |