← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sat, Dec 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waregem win | 60% | 65% | 1.55 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 3.98 | fair |
| Oostende win | 16% | 13% | 5.71 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 751.00 | 1054.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1719.82 | 1475.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.59 | 71.05 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 40.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 1.11 |
| state index | 1.17 | 0.64 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |