← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sun, Dec 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waregem win | 70% | 72% | 1.40 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 19% | 5.00 | fair |
| Lierse win | 11% | 9% | 9.09 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Lierse |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 745.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1715.35 | 1441.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.51 | 2.27 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 37.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| state index | 0.95 | -0.61 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |