← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sun, Dec 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 54% | 39% | 1.80 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | 3.75 | value: +6% |
| Charleroi win | 20% | 33% | 4.90 | value: +59% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 197.00 | 2450.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| elo | 1506.75 | 1605.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.49 | -1.15 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| league points | 20.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.69 |
| state index | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |