← Jupiler Pro League 2013-14 · Sat, Dec 14, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 60% | 57% | 1.63 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | 3.99 | value: +6% |
| Waasland-Beveren win | 16% | 17% | 6.24 | value: +4% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Waasland-Beveren |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1323.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1525.55 | 1437.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.53 | -22.15 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| league points | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 0.56 |
| state index | -0.88 | -1.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |